Drought less probable this year

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to Skymet (private weather forecaster) ,there’s unlikely to be a drought in
2019 as the El Nino — a climate phenomenon linked to poor monsoon in India — is
likely to peter out by the beginning of the season.

  • Indian climatic conditions are shaped
    by many factors; one of them is El-Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO).
  • The El Nino-Southern Oscillation
    (ENSO) is a recurring climate pattern involving changes in the temperature of
    waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.


  • Phenomenon of warming of the ocean
    surface, or above-average sea surface temperatures (SST), in the central and
    eastern tropical Pacific Ocean is known as El Nino.
  • The low-level surface winds, which
    normally blow from east to west along the equator (“easterly winds”), instead
    weaken or, in some cases, start blowing the other direction (from west to east
    or “westerly winds”).
  • This reversal of winds creates unusual
    warming and low pressure near the Peruvian Coast, and causes heavy rainfall.


  • Phenomenon of cooling of the ocean
    surface or below-average Sea surface temperatures (SST), in the central and
    eastern tropical Pacific Ocean is known as La Nina.
  • The normal easterly winds along the
    equator become even stronger.
  • This situation causes heavy rainfall
    (monsoon) on western Pacific areas.

of El-Nino and La-Nina on India’s climate

  • For India, El Nino during winter
    results in development of warm conditions.
  • During summer, it leads to dry
    conditions and deficient monsoon, leading to droughts and water scarcity.
  • Whereas La-Nina brings rains and
    stronger monsoon in India, it may cause flood like situation in coastal areas.
  • El-Nino and La-Nina are complex
    unpredictable phenomenon and Agriculture being the important occupation,
    climatic changes due to these are grave for India.
  • El Nino and La Nina are the extreme
    phases of the ENSO cycle.

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